Movement In Betting Markets Toward Harris.
Last week I wrote about Trump’s strength in betting markets. At the time of my post, most markets favored Trump at 60% or more. Then things changed.
Trump lost about 5 points in the RCP betting market average:
Over at Kashi, Trump dropped from 62% to 56%:
While at PredictIt, Harris has overtaken Trump and is now favored to win:
I’ll reiterate that I find betting markets fascinating because they capture, or attempt to capture what people hear or how they feel about the election as opposed to how they personally intend to vote. Thus, it seems folks are less optimistic about Trump’s chances and more about Harris’ chances.